De Zweef vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zweef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GER
4 - 2
DEZ
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEZ
0 - 2
STE
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 1
DEZ
65%
19%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TVC
0 - 3
DEZ
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DEZ
2 - 1
QUI
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
STE
45%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 1
ALC
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
QUI
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
ALC
63%
20%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 2
BVC
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |