Zwaluwen vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
4º
27
1º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
89% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RKA
1 - 1
ZWA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
SMI
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 9
ZWA
29%
25%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ZWA
4 - 0
HEE
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
ZWA
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
1 - 0
RVV
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LRC
1 - 0
NIE
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WES
3 - 2
NIE
55%
21%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 6
RKA
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
NIE
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |