Zwaluwen vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
15º
10º
51
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 1
ZWA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOE
1 - 1
ZWA
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ZWA
2 - 1
JOD
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SMI
1 - 2
ZWA
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZWA
2 - 0
SPI
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 2
GOE
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
NIE
45%
22%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 2
JOD
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NIE
4 - 0
SMI
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPI
4 - 0
NIE
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |