Zwaluwen vs Lisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
ZWA
0 - 1
EXC
16%
20%
64%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ZWA
2 - 3
RIJ
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZWA
2 - 5
FCS
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HBS
2 - 1
ZWA
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZWA
4 - 3
POO
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
LIS
2 - 4
RIJ
14%
17%
68%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
LIS
4 - 1
KON
28%
23%
49%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIS
1 - 1
ASW
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
STE
1 - 1
LIS
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LIS
3 - 0
GOE
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |