Hoofdklasse Zat. Saturday A Round 23

Zwaluwen vs ARC Alphense analysis

Zwaluwen ARC Alphense
37 ELO 40
-1.3% Tilt -5.1%
6285º General ELO ranking 20357º
113º Country ELO ranking 176º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Zwaluwen
22.4%
Draw
47.5%
ARC Alphense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
Zwaluwen
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.5%
Win probability
ARC Alphense
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zwaluwen
-20%
-38%
ARC Alphense

Points and table prediction

Zwaluwen
Their league position
ARC Alphense
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
15º
10º
51
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kloetinge
59
62
100%
Capelle
54
57
0%
Smitshoek
54
57
0%
GOES
51
54
100%
ARC Alphense
51
51
0%
Nieuwenhoorn
51
51
0%
Poortugaal
46
47
70.5%
ODIN '59
44
45
70.5%
FC 's-Gravenzande
40
43
100%
Zwaluwen
11º
33
36
10º
0%
Achilles Veen
10º
36
36
11º
32.5%
SC Feyenoord
12º
31
35
12º
66%
WNC
13º
31
31
13º
72%
Spijkenisse
14º
29
30
14º
73.5%
Jodan Boys
15º
27
27
15º
100%
De Dijk
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zwaluwen
ARC Alphense
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zwaluwen
ARC Alphense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zwaluwen
Zwaluwen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
POO
Poortugaal
0 - 0
Zwaluwen
ZWA
62%
19%
18%
35 40 5 0
04 Mar. 2023
ZWA
Zwaluwen
0 - 1
De Dijk
DED
84%
11%
5%
36 18 18 -1
25 Feb. 2023
ODI
ODIN '59
3 - 1
Zwaluwen
ZWA
72%
16%
11%
37 44 7 -1
18 Feb. 2023
ZWA
Zwaluwen
0 - 0
Achilles Veen
ACH
44%
22%
34%
37 37 0 0
11 Feb. 2023
ZWA
Zwaluwen
1 - 2
Nieuwenhoorn
NIE
41%
22%
37%
38 38 0 -1

Matches

ARC Alphense
ARC Alphense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2023
ARC
ARC Alphense
1 - 1
GOES
GOE
35%
24%
42%
41 43 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
ACH
Achilles Veen
2 - 1
ARC Alphense
ARC
28%
25%
47%
42 37 5 -1
25 Feb. 2023
ARC
ARC Alphense
1 - 1
Jodan Boys
JOD
70%
17%
13%
42 32 10 0
11 Feb. 2023
SMI
Smitshoek
0 - 1
ARC Alphense
ARC
46%
24%
31%
41 42 1 +1
04 Feb. 2023
ARC
ARC Alphense
3 - 1
Spijkenisse
SPI
54%
21%
25%
41 38 3 0