Zwaluwen vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
15º
10º
51
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POO
0 - 0
ZWA
62%
19%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZWA
0 - 1
DED
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ODI
3 - 1
ZWA
72%
16%
11%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
0 - 0
ACH
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 1
GOE
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
2 - 1
ARC
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 1
JOD
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 1
ARC
46%
24%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARC
3 - 1
SPI
54%
21%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |