Zwaluwen vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 0
ZWA
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ZWA
2 - 1
RIJ
46%
23%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
ZWA
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ZWA
3 - 3
SMI
61%
20%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ZWA
3 - 2
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SPI
0 - 3
ARC
59%
20%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ARC
2 - 3
ACH
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 2
ARC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
ARC
0 - 3
DHS
33%
22%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
RIJ
0 - 0
ARC
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |