Zwaluwen .30 vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VOO
2 - 2
ZWA
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ARG
2 - 1
ZWA
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ZWA
3 - 1
SCN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NOO
4 - 2
ZWA
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ZWA
3 - 1
VIT
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 3
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SCN
2 - 3
ARC
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 2
CSW
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 4
ARC
25%
23%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
VOL
59%
20%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |