Zvijezda 09 vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
67.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
76
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZBE
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ZBE
1 - 2
GOS
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IGM
3 - 1
ZBE
59%
23%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 0
VEL
14%
24%
63%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
ZBE
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 0
ZRI
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 5
ZRI
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
SIR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 0
ZRI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 0
ZRI
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |