Zrinjski Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
6º
4º
8
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 60 |
1º
|
24% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 56 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 55 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 48 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 46 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 27 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
14% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
28% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2025 |
UTR
0 - 0
ZRI
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
ZEL
2 - 0
ZRI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2025 |
ZRI
0 - 2
UTR
22%
22%
57%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
ZRI
0 - 0
SIR
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
BRE
1 - 2
ZRI
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Radnik Bijeljina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
RAD
3 - 0
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2025 |
RUD
1 - 0
RAD
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
RAD
2 - 0
POS
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SAR
4 - 4
RAD
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
ZEL
1 - 1
RAD
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |