UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Zrinjski Mostar vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
ZRI
1 - 1
SLO
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SLO
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
RAD
1 - 2
ZRI
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZRI
3 - 2
SAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ZEL
2 - 1
ZRI
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
KRA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
DBU
39%
25%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
URA
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SHK
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
KRS
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |