De Zouaven vs NVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USV
0 - 2
DEZ
29%
24%
46%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DEZ
1 - 3
PUR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ROD
0 - 2
DEZ
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DEZ
3 - 1
DEK
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
KFC
0 - 3
DEZ
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
NVC
3 - 2
FCB
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 1
NVC
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NVC
0 - 0
DEM
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NVC
4 - 0
USV
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PUR
3 - 3
NVC
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |