Zirl vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zirl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
FUG
1 - 2
ZIR
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TEL
0 - 0
ZIR
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ZIR
1 - 0
KIT
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
IMS
2 - 3
ZIR
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
ZIR
3 - 1
KUN
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2017 |
KIR
1 - 1
KIT
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2017 |
IMS
2 - 2
KIR
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
KIR
1 - 0
KUN
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
WAT
6 - 0
KIR
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
KIR
2 - 1
VOL
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |