Zimbru Chişinău II vs FCM Ungheni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
6º
6º
3
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 35 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 29 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 29 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 28 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 26 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 26 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 23 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 17 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 14 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 10 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 5 |
12º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
12.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
60.5% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
27% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbru Chişinău II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
ZIM
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
CFO
1 - 2
ZIM
16%
20%
64%
|
52 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZIM
10 - 1
FSC
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
COD
2 - 4
ZIM
8%
17%
75%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
ZIM
6%
16%
78%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
FCM Ungheni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
UNG
3 - 1
CFO
86%
9%
5%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ISK
2 - 1
UNG
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCV
3 - 1
UNG
64%
17%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
0 - 3
UNG
10%
15%
75%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
UNG
4 - 2
VCU
75%
15%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |