Zimbabwe vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ZWE
2 - 1
AGO
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
DZA
2 - 2
ZWE
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
ZWE
1 - 0
GAB
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BWA
0 - 2
ZWE
22%
27%
51%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
MOZ
0 - 3
ZWE
29%
27%
45%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ZAF
0 - 0
ZMB
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ZMB
2 - 1
MLI
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ZMB
2 - 1
MWI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ZMB
3 - 0
SWZ
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
TGO
4 - 1
ZMB
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |