2. Division center Round 11

Zenit Penza vs Avangard Kursk analysis

Zenit Penza Avangard Kursk
41 ELO 52
-14.3% Tilt -12%
7686º General ELO ranking 6458º
102º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
19.1%
Zenit Penza
24%
Draw
56.9%
Avangard Kursk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
Zenit Penza
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.9%
Win probability
Avangard Kursk
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zenit Penza
-28%
-8%
Avangard Kursk

ELO progression

Zenit Penza
Avangard Kursk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zenit Penza
Zenit Penza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2012
SOK
Sokol Saratov
1 - 1
Zenit Penza
ZEN
62%
22%
16%
39 45 6 0
03 Sep. 2012
ZEN
Zenit Penza
1 - 2
Fakel
FAK
19%
25%
56%
40 56 16 -1
27 Aug. 2012
ARS
Arsenal Tula II
3 - 2
Zenit Penza
ZEN
60%
22%
18%
40 44 4 0
22 Aug. 2012
ZEN
Zenit Penza
2 - 1
Vityaz Podolsk
VIT
19%
22%
59%
38 49 11 +2
14 Aug. 2012
SPA
Spartak Tambov
2 - 1
Zenit Penza
ZEN
47%
25%
28%
39 38 1 -1

Matches

Avangard Kursk
Avangard Kursk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2012
AVA
Avangard Kursk
1 - 0
Podolye Podolskiy Rayon
POD
68%
19%
13%
53 43 10 0
03 Sep. 2012
LOK
Lokomotiv Liski
1 - 1
Avangard Kursk
AVA
31%
26%
44%
53 47 6 0
27 Aug. 2012
AVA
Avangard Kursk
1 - 2
Gubkin
FKG
58%
24%
19%
54 49 5 -1
22 Aug. 2012
AVA
Avangard Kursk
0 - 3
Metallurg Lipetsk
MET
63%
22%
15%
55 46 9 -1
14 Aug. 2012
SOK
Sokol Saratov
0 - 0
Avangard Kursk
AVA
26%
25%
49%
55 44 11 0