Zenit Izhevsk vs FK Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
9º
8º
29
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Izhevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 1
ZEN
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ZEN
0 - 3
IRT
14%
19%
67%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ZEN
1 - 1
DIN
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
ZPM
2 - 1
ZEN
85%
11%
4%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ZEN
2 - 0
LAD
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 0
FCC
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCN
1 - 2
ZPM
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FCN
0 - 4
TYU
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
URA
2 - 0
FCN
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
FCN
48%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |