Zavrč vs Drava Ptuj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
10º
10º
49
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
11º
|
78.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
12º
|
98% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
83.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zavrč
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 4
ZAV
8%
14%
78%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
NKM
1 - 6
ZAV
2%
7%
91%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ZAV
2 - 3
NKP
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 3
ZAV
10%
16%
74%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ZAV
2 - 1
VID
81%
14%
6%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Drava Ptuj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 0
POD
60%
19%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
NKA
1 - 0
DRA
6%
10%
84%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 0
DRA
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 0
TOL
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 2
CEL
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |