Zaramaga vs Vulcano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SLV
3 - 2
ZAR
68%
19%
13%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 1
TAL
49%
24%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CDF
5 - 3
ZAR
55%
22%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
ZAR
4 - 0
BRU
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ZAR
2 - 3
LAK
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vulcano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VUL
1 - 0
ELP
41%
25%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ALE
2 - 1
VUL
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
IRU
1 - 1
VUL
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
VUL
0 - 1
SLV
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TAL
6 - 1
VUL
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |