Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ELP
1 - 0
ZAR
78%
14%
9%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDL
27%
22%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 4
MKE
24%
21%
56%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ANS
6 - 1
ZAR
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CDL
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 7
AUR
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SLV
2 - 2
ARI
39%
23%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 3
BFC
30%
27%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
ARI
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ARI
5 - 1
IKE
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |