Zaramaga vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zaramaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
IKE
0 - 1
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ZAR
5 - 1
CDF
63%
21%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
IRU
2 - 1
ZAR
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 2
AUR
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CDL
1 - 3
ZAR
23%
24%
53%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ARI
5 - 1
NAN
86%
11%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ARI
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 3
CON
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CDS
0 - 4
ARI
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ARI
4 - 0
LAU
57%
22%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |