1. Lyga Round 22

Žalgiris II vs Ekranas Panevezys analysis

Žalgiris II Ekranas Panevezys
58 ELO 50
23.8% Tilt 16.3%
3964º General ELO ranking 4257º
19º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
66.2%
Žalgiris II
18%
Draw
15.8%
Ekranas Panevezys

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
Žalgiris II
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
15.8%
Win probability
Ekranas Panevezys
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Žalgiris II
+64%
-52%
Ekranas Panevezys

Points and table prediction

Žalgiris II
Their league position
Ekranas Panevezys
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
13º
11
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Transinvest Vilnius
48
77
96.5%
Neptunas Klaipėda
38
65
56.5%
FK Tauras Taurage
38
62
38.5%
FK Babrungas
34
60
41%
Žalgiris II
31
52
44%
BFA
33
51
46.5%
Nevezis
12º
17
35
17%
FC Hegelmann II
23
35
17.5%
Minija Kretinga
20
35
12.5%
Atmosfera
19
34
10º
13.5%
Be1 NFA
14º
13
34
11º
10%
Panevėžys II
13º
16
31
12º
19.5%
FK Jonava
10º
18
29
13º
16%
Kauno Žalgiris II
11º
17
29
14º
18.5%
FK Siauliai 2
16º
11
23
15º
23.5%
Ekranas Panevezys
15º
11
22
16º
50.5%
Expected probabilities
Žalgiris II
Ekranas Panevezys
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0.5% 0%
Mid-table
99.5% 8.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 14.5%
Relegation
0% 77%

ELO progression

Žalgiris II
Ekranas Panevezys
FK Siauliai 2
Neptunas Klaipėda
Panevėžys II
FK Tauras Taurage
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2025
BAB
FK Babrungas
2 - 1
Žalgiris II
ZAL
63%
20%
17%
58 68 10 0
23 Jul. 2025
ZAL
Žalgiris II
1 - 0
Be1 NFA
BEN
35%
25%
40%
57 65 8 +1
27 Jun. 2025
ZAL
Žalgiris II
2 - 3
Transinvest Vilnius
FKT
19%
22%
60%
57 74 17 0
21 Jun. 2025
LIE
FK Jonava
1 - 1
Žalgiris II
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
57 45 12 0
17 Jun. 2025
MIN
Minija Kretinga
1 - 4
Žalgiris II
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
56 54 2 +1

Matches

Ekranas Panevezys
Ekranas Panevezys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Aug. 2025
FHL
FC Hegelmann II
4 - 1
Ekranas Panevezys
FKE
37%
23%
40%
50 48 2 0
27 Jul. 2025
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
1 - 4
Kauno Žalgiris II
FKK
52%
23%
25%
51 49 2 -1
23 Jul. 2025
BFA
BFA
1 - 0
Ekranas Panevezys
FKE
56%
22%
22%
51 58 7 0
27 Jun. 2025
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
0 - 0
FK Jonava
LIE
60%
21%
19%
51 46 5 0
21 Jun. 2025
ATM
Atmosfera
5 - 0
Ekranas Panevezys
FKE
42%
24%
34%
53 53 0 -2