Zakynthos vs Thesprotos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
4º
9º
5º
46
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 49.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zakynthos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 2
ZAK
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZAK
4 - 1
POF
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 2
ZAK
47%
25%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ZAK
0 - 2
ENK
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIE
0 - 0
ZAK
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 0
MGN
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 9 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PAS
1 - 2
THE
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
THE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
THE
2 - 1
AGN
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
THE
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | -2 |