Zagorets vs Brestnik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZAG
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 3
FKH
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
BGA
4 - 0
ZAG
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ZAG
2 - 0
ASE
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HEB
0 - 1
ZAG
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
SVI
20%
23%
57%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
NES
2 - 1
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
SOZ
38%
26%
36%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
FKH
4 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |