Zagorec vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
DUB
3 - 1
ZAG
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 2
NKJ
63%
18%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TRN
3 - 1
ZAG
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 3
DUG
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 2
ZAG
25%
22%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
PON
51%
21%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ZAG
2 - 3
NOV
18%
21%
62%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 3
MAK
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ORI
6 - 2
NOV
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
NOV
6 - 1
KRK
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |