Zagarolo vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagarolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 3
ZAG
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
ZAG
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ZAG
1 - 4
PON
20%
23%
58%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TOD
1 - 0
ZAG
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ZAG
2 - 3
ORV
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 2
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
SSD
1 - 1
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PIE
4 - 1
SSD
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SSD
0 - 0
ASD
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
4 - 0
SSD
81%
13%
5%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |