Zadar vs NK Otok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
SPL
1 - 3
ZAD
28%
26%
46%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ORI
1 - 0
ZAD
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ZAD
2 - 0
NKC
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ZAG
1 - 1
ZAD
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ZAD
2 - 1
SOL
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NK Otok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
OTO
0 - 0
JAD
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
OTO
1 - 0
MOS
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
POM
3 - 1
OTO
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
OTO
1 - 1
VRB
38%
25%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SEG
2 - 0
OTO
84%
12%
5%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |