Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Zacatepec vs Tabasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
LOB
2 - 2
CAÑ
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TAB
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 1
CAÑ
56%
22%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 3
CAÑ
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tabasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
TAB
4 - 2
UDG
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TAB
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
TAB
3 - 2
TRO
71%
17%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
TAB
1 - 1
ALT
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UAT
1 - 0
TAB
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |