Apertura Ascenso MX Ascenso MX. Jor. 4

Zacatepec vs Lobos BUAP analysis

Zacatepec Lobos BUAP
57 ELO 66
7.7% Tilt 0.4%
21866º General ELO ranking 20297º
153º Country ELO ranking 145º
ELO win probability
37.9%
Zacatepec
28.2%
Draw
33.9%
Lobos BUAP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
Zacatepec
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
33.9%
Win probability
Lobos BUAP
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Zacatepec
Lobos BUAP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zacatepec
Zacatepec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2014
CAÑ
Zacatepec
2 - 1
Tijuana
TIJ
17%
22%
61%
56 80 24 0
02 Aug. 2014
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 0
Zacatepec
CAÑ
63%
22%
15%
57 69 12 -1
30 Jul. 2014
TIJ
Tijuana
3 - 1
Zacatepec
CAÑ
75%
17%
8%
57 80 23 0
27 Jul. 2014
CAÑ
Zacatepec
1 - 1
Correcaminos UAT
UAT
28%
29%
43%
57 73 16 0
19 Jul. 2014
TEP
Deportivo Tepic
1 - 0
Zacatepec
CAÑ
38%
28%
34%
56 54 2 +1

Matches

Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2014
JAG
Chiapas
0 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
66%
20%
14%
66 74 8 0
02 Aug. 2014
LOB
Lobos BUAP
0 - 1
Mineros de Zacatecas
ZAC
51%
27%
23%
66 66 0 0
30 Jul. 2014
LOB
Lobos BUAP
4 - 2
Chiapas
JAG
30%
25%
45%
65 75 10 +1
27 Jul. 2014
TOR
Celaya
0 - 2
Lobos BUAP
LOB
48%
26%
26%
64 64 0 +1
19 Jul. 2014
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
39%
28%
33%
62 65 3 +2
X