Yverdon vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
49.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
12º
11º
49
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 1
YVE
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
YVE
1 - 0
STG
21%
22%
57%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 1
YVE
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SCE
1 - 2
YVE
3%
7%
90%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
YVE
2 - 1
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LUG
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 0
HJK
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
2 - 1
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 0
LUG
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
LUG
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |