Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Peng City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
25.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
6º
16º
8º
17
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 65 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 58 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 51 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 23 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
YUN
3 - 0
GGZ
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
HAN
3 - 1
YUN
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BEI
2 - 1
YUN
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
YUN
2 - 1
HEN
46%
27%
26%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
SHU
1 - 2
YUN
5%
9%
86%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Shenzhen Peng City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
SJF
4 - 0
QIN
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
SJF
1 - 2
SHA
16%
21%
62%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
CBC
5 - 0
SJF
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
SJF
1 - 2
WFC
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
SJF
3 - 1
SHA
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +2 |