Ypiranga AP vs Oratorio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ypiranga AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
YAP
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
YAP
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
YAP
91%
8%
2%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SEC
0 - 1
YAP
31%
24%
44%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CRI
0 - 6
YAP
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Oratorio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 1
ORC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
TDC
0 - 0
ORC
58%
22%
19%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ORC
1 - 1
IAP
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ORC
5 - 1
SPM
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 1
ORC
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |