Young Buffaloes vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
54
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Young Buffaloes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
6 - 2
MAN
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
NHO
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SED
1 - 1
YOU
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DNV
1 - 2
YOU
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 4
MBA
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MBA
3 - 1
MAD
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
MBA
4 - 0
SED
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
NHO
0 - 2
MBA
41%
22%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
MBA
2 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |