Switzerland Fourth Division Round 25

YF Juventus vs Luzern II analysis

YF Juventus Luzern II
48 ELO 37
14.6% Tilt 7.2%
4470º General ELO ranking 3322º
49º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
70%
YF Juventus
17.2%
Draw
12.8%
Luzern II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
YF Juventus
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.8%
Win probability
Luzern II
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
YF Juventus
-8%
-18%
Luzern II

ELO progression

YF Juventus
Luzern II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

YF Juventus
YF Juventus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2012
TUG
Tuggen
2 - 1
YF Juventus
YFJ
50%
23%
27%
49 48 1 0
28 Apr. 2012
YFJ
YF Juventus
5 - 0
Winterthur II
WIN
78%
14%
8%
48 31 17 +1
21 Apr. 2012
STG
St. Gallen II
2 - 1
YF Juventus
YFJ
33%
25%
43%
49 42 7 -1
14 Apr. 2012
YFJ
YF Juventus
3 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
48%
23%
29%
48 49 1 +1
04 Apr. 2012
FCB
FC Balzers
2 - 3
YF Juventus
YFJ
30%
24%
47%
48 36 12 0

Matches

Luzern II
Luzern II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2012
LUZ
Luzern II
0 - 2
Eschen/Mauren
ESC
35%
24%
41%
39 45 6 0
28 Apr. 2012
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
3 - 4
Luzern II
LUZ
41%
26%
34%
38 39 1 +1
21 Apr. 2012
CHA
SC Cham
4 - 0
Luzern II
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
39 44 5 -1
14 Apr. 2012
LUZ
Luzern II
2 - 4
Tuggen
TUG
40%
24%
36%
41 45 4 -2
04 Apr. 2012
WIN
Winterthur II
2 - 3
Luzern II
LUZ
31%
24%
45%
40 32 8 +1