YF Juventus vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
YFJ
1 - 3
CHA
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 1
YFJ
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
YFJ
2 - 1
MEN
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LUZ
0 - 2
YFJ
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
YFJ
3 - 2
TUG
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
MEN
0 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 3
LUZ
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
LUG
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
WIN
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
STG
3 - 2
LUG
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |