Xorazm vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
15º
15º
17
3º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 36 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 34 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 34 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 33 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 26 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 24 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 22 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 18 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 16 |
16º
|
72% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
55% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2025 |
NEF
2 - 0
XOR
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 3
NAV
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
XOR
2 - 3
AND
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
1 - 0
XOR
57%
23%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
XOR
1 - 2
DSA
25%
26%
50%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SHO
1 - 2
QIZ
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
QIZ
1 - 1
NEF
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
SOG
4 - 1
QIZ
53%
24%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
AND
1 - 1
QIZ
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
QIZ
0 - 0
SOG
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |