Xinabajul vs Malacateco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
10º
11º
29
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
MUN
2 - 1
XIN
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 2
CHI
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
ACH
1 - 1
XIN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
XIN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 0
LEO
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 1
ANT
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TOR
0 - 1
MUN
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACH
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
1 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CHI
2 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |