Apertura Guatemala Normal Season Round 2

Xinabajul vs Coatepeque analysis

Xinabajul Coatepeque
62 ELO 54
-11.1% Tilt -7.9%
2959º General ELO ranking 19441º
12º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Xinabajul
26.9%
Draw
22.7%
Coatepeque

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
Xinabajul
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
22.7%
Win probability
Coatepeque
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Xinabajul
Their league position
Coatepeque
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
12º
11º
11
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Achuapa
30
30
100%
Municipal
28
28
0%
Antigua GFC
28
28
0%
Comunicaciones
26
26
100%
Malacateco
24
24
100%
Guastatoya
23
23
100%
Zacapa
22
22
100%
Xelajú
19
19
100%
Mixco
19
19
100%
Cobán Imperial
10º
18
18
10º
100%
Xinabajul
11º
16
16
11º
100%
Coatepeque
12º
11
11
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Xinabajul
Coatepeque
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Xinabajul
Coatepeque
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Xinabajul
Xinabajul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2023
COM
Comunicaciones
1 - 1
Xinabajul
XIN
52%
25%
23%
62 64 2 0
14 May. 2023
XIN
Xinabajul
1 - 0
Guastatoya
GUA
42%
30%
28%
61 63 2 +1
10 May. 2023
GUA
Guastatoya
2 - 0
Xinabajul
XIN
43%
27%
30%
62 61 1 -1
07 May. 2023
ANT
Antigua GFC
1 - 3
Xinabajul
XIN
58%
23%
19%
61 63 2 +1
01 May. 2023
XIN
Xinabajul
0 - 1
Cobán Imperial
COB
38%
29%
34%
61 63 2 0

Matches

Coatepeque
Coatepeque
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
ZAC
Zacapa
5 - 0
Coatepeque
COA
33%
23%
44%
56 53 3 0
04 Jun. 2023
COA
Coatepeque
3 - 1
Zacapa
ZAC
46%
24%
30%
55 54 1 +1
28 May. 2023
COA
Coatepeque
5 - 0
Suchitepequez
VEN
43%
23%
35%
53 51 2 +2
21 May. 2023
VEN
Suchitepequez
0 - 2
Coatepeque
COA
47%
22%
32%
52 52 0 +1
14 May. 2023
COA
Coatepeque
5 - 0
Comunicaciones II
COM
47%
23%
30%
51 49 2 +1