Xilvar vs Penya Arrabal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CFP
2 - 1
XIL
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
XIL
1 - 0
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
POB
0 - 2
XIL
41%
25%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
XIL
3 - 1
FLN
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SER
2 - 2
XIL
53%
24%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 0
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PLA
3 - 3
PEN
27%
25%
49%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SCD
3 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |