Xerxes vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 0
XER
37%
22%
42%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
XER
3 - 2
KLO
64%
18%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 3
XER
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 1
XER
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
XER
0 - 5
SPI
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 0
ASW
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 3
SHO
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ZWA
1 - 0
SPI
53%
22%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RVV
0 - 2
ZWA
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +4 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ZWA
0 - 4
NOO
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |