Xermade vs Alfoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xermade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
XER
1 - 2
FOL
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
XER
50%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
XER
1 - 0
GUI
70%
18%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
XER
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
XER
1 - 0
FER
57%
21%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
CAB
30%
24%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 1
ALF
61%
20%
19%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
GOI
44%
23%
33%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
ALF
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
SAC
32%
23%
45%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |