Xerez CD vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ALM
1 - 0
XER
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
XER
1 - 0
POR
58%
26%
15%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
PUE
1 - 1
XER
53%
27%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
XER
5 - 0
IME
87%
10%
2%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
XER
4 - 2
RAC
54%
27%
19%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 0
HEL
54%
26%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CFC
5 - 1
RJA
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
RJA
2 - 0
SFE
53%
26%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
POR
2 - 0
RJA
63%
23%
13%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
RJA
1 - 0
CDB
48%
27%
25%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |