Xerez CD vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PON
0 - 1
XER
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
XER
1 - 1
RAC
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
XER
31%
26%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
XER
0 - 3
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 0
XER
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
LUG
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 1
MUR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NUM
3 - 0
LUG
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
MIR
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
LUG
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |