Tercera RFEF X - Andalucía y Ceuta round 17

Xerez CD vs Atlético Espeleño analysis

Xerez CD Atlético Espeleño
37 ELO 26
-24.6% Tilt -13.2%
6239º General ELO ranking 10094º
203º Country ELO ranking 417º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Xerez CD
23.6%
Draw
20.3%
Atlético Espeleño

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
Xerez CD
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.3%
Win probability
Atlético Espeleño
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Xerez CD
-1%
-3%
Atlético Espeleño

Points and table prediction

Xerez CD
Their league position
Atlético Espeleño
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
37
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Xerez CD
67
67
100%
Ciudad de Lucena
66
66
100%
Xerez Deportivo
64
64
100%
CD Pozoblanco
62
62
100%
AD Ceuta FC B
56
57
100%
Salerm Puente Genil
54
54
100%
CD Inter Sevilla
46
47
65%
Utrera
46
46
65%
AD Cartaya
45
45
100%
La Palma CF
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Bollullos CF
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Córdoba CF B
13º
37
37
12º
0%
Atlético Espeleño
14º
37
37
13º
0%
Conil
12º
37
37
14º
0%
Coria CF
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Sevilla C
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Ayamonte
17º
32
32
17º
100%
Cabecense
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Xerez CD
Atlético Espeleño
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Xerez CD
Atlético Espeleño
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Xerez CD
Xerez CD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2024
AYA
Ayamonte
1 - 2
Xerez CD
XER
22%
23%
55%
36 24 12 0
23 Dec. 2023
CIS
CD Inter Sevilla
1 - 3
Xerez CD
XER
40%
25%
35%
34 31 3 +2
17 Dec. 2023
XER
Xerez CD
1 - 1
Ciudad de Lucena
CDL
39%
27%
33%
34 36 2 0
03 Dec. 2023
XER
Xerez CD
3 - 0
Coria CF
COR
66%
21%
13%
34 21 13 0
26 Nov. 2023
LAP
La Palma CF
3 - 3
Xerez CD
XER
30%
24%
46%
34 25 9 0

Matches

Atlético Espeleño
Atlético Espeleño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2023
ESP
Atlético Espeleño
0 - 0
Córdoba CF B
CRD
33%
24%
43%
27 35 8 0
17 Dec. 2023
SEV
Sevilla C
0 - 2
Atlético Espeleño
ESP
41%
25%
35%
26 25 1 +1
06 Dec. 2023
CIS
CD Inter Sevilla
1 - 0
Atlético Espeleño
ESP
57%
22%
22%
26 31 5 0
02 Dec. 2023
ESP
Atlético Espeleño
2 - 3
Ciudad de Lucena
CDL
36%
26%
38%
27 36 9 -1
26 Nov. 2023
AYA
Ayamonte
1 - 0
Atlético Espeleño
ESP
32%
24%
44%
28 23 5 -1