Wydad Fès vs USM Oujda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
38%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
15º
14º
49
2º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wydad Fès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
WYD
50%
26%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WYD
1 - 1
CBG
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
WYD
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
WYD
0 - 1
MEK
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ITM
1 - 0
WYD
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
USM Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
ODC
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
OCK
0 - 0
USM
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
USM
1 - 1
RAJ
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CBG
1 - 1
USM
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
USM
3 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |