Würmla vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
KRE
8 - 0
WUR
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
WUR
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WUR
2 - 2
SPR
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 0
WUR
42%
24%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
WUR
0 - 1
WAI
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STP
4 - 2
LAN
42%
25%
33%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SPR
4 - 1
STP
61%
20%
20%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
ARD
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
WAI
1 - 3
STP
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STP
0 - 3
SVH
60%
20%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |