Liga Dos China Normal Season Round 15

Hubei Istar vs Lanzhou Longyuan analysis

Hubei Istar Lanzhou Longyuan
30 ELO 33
-18.4% Tilt -14.3%
9379º General ELO ranking 8965º
47º Country ELO ranking 45º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Hubei Istar
23.6%
Draw
35%
Lanzhou Longyuan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
Hubei Istar
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35%
Win probability
Lanzhou Longyuan
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hubei Istar
-22%
-22%
Lanzhou Longyuan

Points and table prediction

Hubei Istar
Their league position
Lanzhou Longyuan
CURR.POS.
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
15º
24º
22º
22
23º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Guangxi Hengchen
57
57
100%
Shenzhen 2028
48
48
100%
Wuxi Wugo
45
45
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng B
40
40
100%
Shandong Taishan B
39
39
0%
Guizhou Zhucheng Jingji
39
39
0%
Haimen Codion
38
38
0%
Guangzhou Dandelion
38
38
0%
Changchun Xidu
38
38
100%
Jiangxi Lushan
10º
35
35
10º
100%
Hangzhou Linping
11º
32
32
11º
100%
Wuhan Three Towns B
12º
29
29
12º
100%
Taian Tiankuang
13º
26
26
13º
0%
Wenzhou FC
14º
26
26
14º
0%
Shanghai Port B
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Ganzhou Ruishi
16º
23
23
16º
100%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
17º
23
23
17º
100%
Lanzhou Longyuan
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Guangdong Mingtu
19º
20
20
19º
100%
Kunming City
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Beijing Technology
21º
17
17
21º
100%
Hubei Istar
22º
16
16
22º
100%
Quanzhou Yassin
23º
15
15
23º
100%
Guangxi Lanhang
24º
6
6
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hubei Istar
Lanzhou Longyuan
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Hubei Istar
Lanzhou Longyuan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hubei Istar
Hubei Istar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2025
XIR
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
5 - 1
Hubei Istar
WCH
30%
23%
46%
33 25 8 0
08 Jun. 2025
WCH
Hubei Istar
1 - 2
Shandong Taishan B
SHA
32%
23%
45%
34 39 5 -1
14 May. 2025
JIA
Jiangxi Lushan
2 - 4
Hubei Istar
WCH
80%
14%
6%
31 47 16 +3
11 May. 2025
WCH
Hubei Istar
3 - 0
Beijing Technology
BIT
45%
25%
30%
30 30 0 +1
06 May. 2025
WWF
Wuxi Wugo
2 - 0
Hubei Istar
WCH
81%
14%
5%
30 52 22 0

Matches

Lanzhou Longyuan
Lanzhou Longyuan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2025
SHA
Shandong Taishan B
2 - 2
Lanzhou Longyuan
RZY
63%
19%
17%
31 40 9 0
08 Jun. 2025
RZY
Lanzhou Longyuan
1 - 1
Haimen Codion
NHC
18%
22%
60%
30 55 25 +1
31 May. 2025
LAN
Hangzhou Linping
1 - 3
Lanzhou Longyuan
RZY
58%
21%
22%
29 34 5 +1
26 May. 2025
BIT
Beijing Technology
2 - 0
Lanzhou Longyuan
RZY
43%
23%
34%
30 28 2 -1
17 May. 2025
RZY
Lanzhou Longyuan
1 - 1
Shanghai Port B
SHA
37%
23%
40%
30 33 3 0