Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
WSA
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
WSA
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GBV
3 - 0
WSA
88%
8%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
WSA
91%
8%
1%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
STL
4 - 1
WSA
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
WSA
91%
7%
2%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
THU
1 - 1
WSA
91%
7%
2%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
STL
1 - 0
THU
19%
20%
61%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
KCF
3 - 1
THU
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
KCF
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |