Manitoba vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
72.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
WSA
1 - 1
SPR
22%
22%
57%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
WSA
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
WSA
87%
10%
4%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SPR
5 - 2
WSA
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
STL
1 - 0
WSA
83%
11%
5%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
THU
1 - 1
SPR
83%
13%
5%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
SPR
83%
13%
5%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
STL
2 - 2
THU
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
THU
0 - 1
STL
78%
14%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
STL
1 - 0
THU
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |