Manitoba vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
WSA
1 - 4
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
THU
1 - 0
WSA
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
82%
12%
5%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
WSA
0 - 0
STL
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
WSA
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
WSA
1 - 4
DES
13%
19%
69%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
STL
2 - 1
DES
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
DES
0 - 2
MIN
11%
16%
73%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DES
3 - 2
KCB
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
MIB
1 - 3
DES
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |