Wrexham AFC vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 1
WRE
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
WRE
4 - 1
MAN
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
BOS
2 - 1
WRE
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WRE
1 - 1
POS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 4
LEY
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
WYC
3 - 0
ROC
60%
22%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2005 |
GRI
4 - 1
ROC
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ROC
4 - 3
STF
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
TRA
3 - 2
ROC
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |